Commissioned trend briefing

A commissioned trend briefing is the desk’s principal work. You name a market or a question. We draw the series that can honestly answer it, write a reading of what the figures allow, and sit with you while the sheets are still unmarked.

Who it is for

The briefing suits a board, an editor, or a family office that already feels a change in the figures and needs the change drawn large enough to argue. Typical questions in this office have concerned Kakheti export kilos, hotel nights in Tbilisi, passenger counts, and wholesale prices for a single staple. The client is not asked to become a chartist. The client is asked to say what decision the sheets must serve.

What you receive

You receive a bound set of six to twelve charts, a source list with dates of extraction, a written reading of eight to sixteen pages, and one sitting of about ninety minutes. The charts carry grain, units, and the years compared. Annotations mark breaks in the usual seasonal shape, years that must not be averaged in, and the range we are prepared to write as a forecast sentence.

The sitting is not a lecture. We walk the sheets in the order they should be hung, answer which comparison is fair, and leave pencil room for your own marks.

Scope, and what stays outside it

One briefing covers one question or one named market. If a second series is needed to explain the first — a harvest against an export line, for example — it is included when the source list can carry both. A third market is a second briefing.

We do not offer legal advice, investment instructions, or a promise that a drawn range will occur. We do not fill gaps in a series with invented points. If a year is missing from the returns, the chart shows the break.

Who draws it

Nino Beridze takes the question and the sitting. Giorgi Tsereteli builds the source list from your ledgers and from published returns — Geostat tables, customs abstracts, harvest bulletins, association yearbooks. Elene Maisuradze joins when the sheets must be read to a board that has not lived with the figures.

How the work proceeds

1. An intake conversation, in person or by telephone, to name the question and the years.
2. A source list sent for your mark-up. Work does not start until the list is agreed.
3. First sketches at a coarse grain, so a false comparison can be caught early.
4. A short review sitting or a marked-up packet.
5. Finished sheets, the written reading, and the presentation sitting.

Time, place, and what to prepare

Three to five weeks is usual once sources are in hand. Urgent compressions are possible only when the series already sit in a form we can draw from. The atelier is at Level 10, 47 Chavchavadze Avenue, Tbilisi 0179. We will travel within Georgia when the board cannot come to Vake.

Bring, if you have them: the ledgers or extracts you trust, the years you care about, and the decision the charts must survive. If you have nothing but a question, say so. We will tell you whether published returns are enough.

Constraints

We will refuse a briefing that asks us to hide a break, to draw a series we cannot source, or to write a forecast tighter than the figures allow. Printed sheets remain the client’s to hang; the drawings as drawings remain the desk’s until the fee is settled, as the terms set out.

Fee and the next step

The fee is quoted from the question, the length of the series, and whether the sources are already in your cupboards. A deposit holds the diary. Write to the desk with the market and the years. We will answer with a source list and an estimate, not with a catalogue of extras.